“The question is, will that increase in airfares be enough to cover the dramatically higher oil bills? I don’t think it will be.”

Fuel-hedging positions have protected airlines from the worst of the oil price rises since the start of the Iran war, but they have begun to unwind.

As a result, airlines will be forced to buy a far bigger proportion of their jet fuel at market rates.

Prices have surged by 113 per cent to $192 (ยฃ144) a barrel since the start of 2026, more than double the increase in the cost of crude oil.



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